My 2010 Predictions

First, how did I do with my 2009 predictions?

2009 Predictions

1. Lakers will win the NBA championship. Bingo! I should get extra points for this one.
2. The Celtics won’t make it to the finals. HA HA!
3. My daughter will achieve a B average. If you factor in the one-grade bump for AP courses, she did it.
4. High foreclosure rate will continue. Uh huh. Looks like it might accelerate too.
5. The median price of homes will continue to decline albeit at a slower pace. Buzzz. Thanks to govt handouts and free loans..err stimulus…median price is seeing some increases
6. We will officially enter a recession. Yuppers
7. Prez Obama will claim he didn’t know how bad it really was. Nope, but he gets no props for not using this one.
8. Apple will become “mortal”. I think we are starting to see some chinks in the armor.
9. I will get a new phone. Yes, an N97.
10. West Los Angeles home prices will finally succumb to significant price declines. Prices are down, but I wouldn’t say significantly.
11. I will gain a new hobby. Darn. Missed this one!
12. I will maintain my weight loss. Yes indeed!

8 out of 12. Not too shabby. Better than last year’s 7 or 15.

2010 Predictions

  1. Lakers will repeat as NBA champions. (Yeah, I’m going to ride this one as long as I can!)
  2. The Celtics won’t make the finals…again. (ditto.)
  3. Higher interest rates will start, particularly long-term rates.
  4. Higher mortgage rates will cause havoc in residential home sales
  5. High foreclosure rate will continue
  6. High unemployment will continue
  7. The federal government will begin to see the problem with the the stupid idea of borrowing to get out of a credit crisis. In the long run, it doesn’t work for me and won’t work for Uncle Sam. My guess is that it will manifest itself with a difficulty to sell Treasuries, which will cause rates to rise and cascade into all kinds of other problems.
  8. A US state will declare bankruptcy.
  9. The equity markets will realize, like Wile E. Coyote, that you can only remain suspended in mid-air temporarily.
  10. Apple will release some type of tablet device and it will not only create a new category, but destroy the eBook device market (e.g., Kindle, Sony Reader, B&N Nook, etc.).
  11. Firmware updates to the N97 will finally make it a flagship device for Nokia.
  12. With respect to the economy, 2010 will be a year we’d rather forget than remember. It will not be a recovery year, but a year where hard lessons should be learned. (Gawd, I hope I’m wrong on this, but I know we have to pay the piper someday.)

VOIP phone hangs up after 10 minutes

For some unknown reason, in the past few weeks our ViaTalk VOIP phone started hanging up after *exactly* 10 minutes. After a little bit of searching I found this page which under the promising heading of “VoIP call disconnects after 10 minutes” had a link to this document.

I already had the VOIP unit set up in the DMZ, so that wasn’t the problem. The document also talks about turning off the “SIP ALG” method. Well, buried deep on the Dlink DIR-655 router’s Advance > Firewall Settings page, I found a SIP checkbox under the Application Level Gateway (ALG) Configuration section. I unchecked it, saved the settings and this seems to have fixed the problem! We’ll see if it stays that way. I’m hopeful. Thought I’d post this in case anyone else runs into this issue.

Tablet form factor sux for input-intensive tasks

While I *love* my MotionComputing LE1700 slate-type tablet PC, I have come to the realization that it basically sux if you have to input a lot of text. It has basically two ways to input: 1) handwriting recognition; and 2) virtual keyboard. For browsing web pages, reading digital magazines, watching videos, and even composing short emails, tablets are fine. However,

The acid test is trying to carry on an IM conversation. I suppose if you could enter the ext perfectly, it might be ok. However, that is not realistic. Correcting input–even via keyboard–is part of the process and

I also have an iPod Touch 2nd gen and love it. So, the natural thought of a larger screened version really captures my imagination. However,

Although the LE1700 requires you to use a pen stylus, I don’t think it would be that much better if you could just touch the screen.